Prospering in Volatility: Antifragile Strategies - HSM Experience
This article is a summary of a YouTube video "Antifrágil: prosperando na volatilidade - HSM Experience" by hsm University
TLDR Embracing volatility, stress, and unexpected events is necessary for personal and economic growth, as it allows for adaptation, learning from mistakes, and becoming antifragile.
Key insights
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb expresses frustration with the misinterpretation of his book "The Black Swan" and emphasizes the need to build structures to protect ourselves from extreme events.
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"Com o frágil, você ganha dinheiro de forma estável... até que um dia não ganha mais esse dinheiro e perde tudo e mais um pouco." - With fragility, you make money steadily... until one day you no longer make that money and lose everything and more.
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The economy is more like a cat than a washing machine, it needs stressors to grow and thrive.
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Crises are not necessarily bad, they are necessary for growth and improvement, just like the example of the Silicon Valley in the 2000s.
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Embracing errors and being anti-fragile is crucial in complex environments, allowing individuals and organizations to position themselves to benefit from unexpected outcomes.
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The Romans didn't believe in theories, they preferred trial and error, which allowed them to develop things like concrete that we don't have today.
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Antifragile things thrive with time and shocks, as they improve with each challenge.
The speaker discusses the concept of antifragility and how it relates to the idea of unpredictable events, such as the "black swan," and the need to build structures to protect ourselves from these events.
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Fragile things don't like volatility, but the opposite of fragile is not robust or resilient, it's something that wants to be harmed because it can only improve after being harmed.
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03:04
Making money steadily can make you feel like a genius, but when you lose it all, you realize the importance of embracing volatility and preparing for unexpected events.
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03:54
Embracing volatility and stress is necessary for personal and economic growth, as the economy requires stressors for growth and just like a volatile heartbeat indicates good health, and countries like Singapore and Venice thrive by compensating for their lack of natural resources through excessive adaptation and resourcefulness.
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06:40
Crises are not necessarily bad, they are necessary for growth and regulation, and companies should seize opportunities and embrace their own mistakes to thrive.
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08:53
The pharmaceutical industry thrives on making mistakes and embracing the unintended consequences of their drugs, using trial and error to navigate uncertainty and become antifragile.
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10:30
The Romans didn't believe in theories, they only relied on trial and error, which allowed them to discover secrets that we don't have today, so it's important to have flexibility in business plans and take advantage of beneficial side effects.
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12:04
The key to predicting the future is not adding new technologies, but removing those that have been around for less than 25 years, as they are the most vulnerable and have not yet proven to be antifragile.
This article is a summary of a YouTube video "Antifrágil: prosperando na volatilidade - HSM Experience" by hsm University